ESPN NFL Picks with Jeff Ellis: Week 4

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Sep 15, 2013; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears wide receiver Brandon Marshall (15) catches a pass in front of Minnesota Vikings strong safety Jamarca Sanford (33) during the third quarter at Soldier Field. The Bears won 31-30. Mandatory Credit: Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports

Chicago @ Detroit
These teams match-up very well and when I see a close match-up I usually turn to the turnover stats and defensive scoring to make my decision. Bears are +6 turnovers and Lions are +3 turnovers. The Bears have three defensive tds and Lions have one. I like the Bears to pickup their fourth win in a row and go undefeated.