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Simulation inaccuracy predicted in week 2 against Saints

By Jonathan Vogel

Nov 1, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints defensive end Bobby Richardson (78) hits New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning (10) during the second half of a game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints defeated the Giants 52-49. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 1, 2015; New Orleans, LA, USA; New Orleans Saints defensive end Bobby Richardson (78) hits New York Giants quarterback Eli Manning (10) during the second half of a game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Saints defeated the Giants 52-49. Mandatory Credit: Derick E. Hingle-USA TODAY Sports /
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Madden Simulation Inaccurate Against Cowboys

The Big Blue barely won against the Dallas Cowboys 20-19. According to Madden simulation, a stronger Giants’ victory (35-17) was predicted. As accurate in theory as Madden is, the simulation may not be an accurate predictor for Week 2 either.

Many fans are upset at the Giants’ defense for showing the same signs of weakness of the season prior under defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. Big Blue “D” currently ranks 22nd according to NFL Fantasy Sports.

Pass Rush Is No Simulation

Many have criticized the Giants defensive pass rush 227 passing yards allowed and 101 rushing yards allowed in Week 1. The Giants allowed 52 points last season against the Saints. Drew Brees threw seven touchdowns and had an even more undesirable total yards allowed number (505 passing yards allowed and 103 in rushing).

Based on Week 1, the Giants will likely be able to score more points than they did against the Cowboys, but the game will most likely not be tied in the 4th quarter, given Brees’ effectiveness whose career rating is an impressive 96 over eleven seasons and more bad defensive habits by the Giants ranking near the bottom of the list in defensive effectiveness.

Even if Spagnuolo manages to limit the points allowed from 19 in last week’s game, the Saints’ defense will most likely restrict the Giants from great scoring.  Consider that this Saints’ offense has just scored 34 points against the Oakland Raiders last. Giants 35. Saints 17? That is hardly going to be accurate.

Madden Simulation Predicts?

Also, even if the game is close in the final minutes of the game, it is unlikely that field goal kicker Will Lutz will be able to be as effective under pressure. Last year Kai Forbath kicked the go ahead field goal to give the Saints a 52-49 victory. Field goal kicking will not make or break the game for the Saints.

It is easy to point fingers at the defensive line. While some players have not impressed us, ultimately it is up to Spagnuolo.

Historically, the Giants and Saints are 15-13 overall. On the road to the credit of the simulation report, Brees is not as effective in road games. To qualify this, though, Brees quarterback ranking all-time is 109. The latest fantasy speculations show that he will outperform expectations.

The game will be close because the Giants’ defense will repeat the same mistakes of the past and Brees will out duel Manning.

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