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		<title>NFL Win Totals Released..Giants Getting a lot of Play</title>
		<link>http://gmenhq.com/2012/05/24/nfl-win-totals-released-giants-getting-a-lot-of-play/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 24 May 2012 16:08:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe Tufaro</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Around The NFL]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>Cantor Gaming made another big splash Wednesday morning when it became the first Nevada bookmaker to release NFL season win totals. The Packers and Patriots lead the way at 12 wins apiece, with slightly higher juice on Green Bay if you want to bet over. No other team received a total above 10. Of the [...]</p><p><a href="http://gmenhq.com/2012/05/24/nfl-win-totals-released-giants-getting-a-lot-of-play/">NFL Win Totals Released..Giants Getting a lot of Play</a> - <a href="http://gmenhq.com">GMEN HQ</a> - <a href="http://gmenhq.com">GMEN HQ - A NY Giants Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and more.</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><strong>Cantor Gaming made another big splash Wednesday morning when it became the first Nevada bookmaker to release NFL season win totals.</p>
<p></strong>The Packers and Patriots lead the way at 12 wins apiece, with slightly higher juice on Green Bay if you want to bet over. No other team received a total above 10. Of the six teams pegged at 10, the Texans (over -140) and Eagles (over -135) form the top tier.</p>
<p>At the NFL&#8217;s bottom end, the Jags, Colts and Browns are listed at 5.5 wins. (See below for a full list.)</p>
<p>This is the earliest Cantor has ever released season win totals.</p>
<p>&#8220;We usually release &#8216;em toward the end of June,&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;The reason we&#8217;re doing it now is just the demand. We have so many tourist properties, people are coming in on the weekends from out of town and asking if we have season wins up. We think the numbers are good to go, so why not put &#8216;em up?&#8221;</p>
<p>Two weeks ago Cantor created a buzz by posting <a href="http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=273744" target="_blank">spreads on every NFL game</a> through Week 16, offering lines on a whopping 240 games. Most other books are content right now to offer Week 1 lines, at most.</p>
<p>Colbert said the action he took on 16 weeks&#8217; worth of games influenced some win totals, including those of the <strong>Giants</strong> and Buccaneers.</p>
<p><strong>&#8220;We think the Giants are closer to a 9 than a 9.5, but the fact they got bet so heavily in the 16 weeks made us bump them up,&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;We made them almost half a game higher than our math tells us.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p>Bettors have been fading the Bucs, so Colbert adjusted the juice while keeping their total at 6.</p>
<p>Colbert saw the win totals that <a href="http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=274471&amp;article" target="_blank">BetOnline put out last week</a> but said those did not affect his numbers much.</p>
<p>&#8220;People are going to be pretty surprised at some of the big differences,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p><strong>*New Orleans is set at 11 (under -125) offshore. Cantor released 10 (over -125).</strong></p>
<p>&#8220;Mathematically we have the Saints at just under 10. We convert all 16 games on the moneyline and it came out to 9.9 wins,&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;ll win 12, which they&#8217;d have to do for you to win an over 11. I&#8217;d be willing to make a gigantic bet they don&#8217;t win 12. But that&#8217;s what makes this great.&#8221;</p>
<p>*<strong>Carolina is set at 8.5 (under -155) offshore. Cantor released 7.5.</strong></p>
<p>&#8220;Look at Carolina&#8217;s schedule. If you think they&#8217;re going to win nine games, I&#8217;d have to check your [thought process],&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;They might have a top-5 toughest schedule.&#8221;</p>
<p>Based on its internal numbers, Cantor would have put Carolina at 7. But there was no need to go that low when another book is offering 8.5.</p>
<p>*<strong>Denver is set at 10 offshore. Cantor released 9.5 (under -120).</strong></p>
<p>&#8220;There&#8217;s another team with an absolutely brutal schedule,&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;I don&#8217;t think Denver will win more than 9, and surely don&#8217;t think they&#8217;ll win 11. I really think 9 is better than 9.5, but with a 10 out there we don&#8217;t have to go that low.&#8221;</p>
<p>He believes plenty of bettors will still go under 9.5, despite the frenzy over Peyton Manning&#8217;s arrival.</p>
<p>As the release approached, Colbert gave us his thoughts on other teams&#8217; totals.</p>
<p>*<strong>Bears 8.5 (over -125); Cowboys 8.5 (over -125); Jets 8.5.</p>
<p></strong>He expects over bets on these three teams.</p>
<p>&#8220;At least in our futures bets, there&#8217;s a lot of people who are higher on the Bears than we are,&#8221; he said. &#8220;And to see an 8.5 on the Cowboys looks low to most people. Whether it&#8217;s right or not, it looks low to the average guy. The Jets may get bet over too. These are big-time, public teams that have been pretty good [in recent years].&#8221;<br />
<strong><br />
*Packers 12 (over -125), Patriots 12 (over -120).</strong></p>
<p>These heavyweights are favored in every game.</p>
<p>&#8220;People probably are going to bet those top two teams over,&#8221; Colbert said. &#8220;It&#8217;s hard to win 13 games in the NFL, I can assure you of that. We&#8217;ll be happy to take those bets.&#8221;</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t look for Cantor&#8217;s win totals to move much, only the juice.</p>
<p>&#8220;Very rarely do we move even a half-game, but it does happen,&#8221; Colbert said, recalling last year&#8217;s move of the Bengals from 7 to 6.5 (under -180), a move he equated to a full game. &#8220;Putting it out first, there&#8217;s more of a chance. But it takes quite a bit of money to move a season win total off a number.</p>
<p>&#8220;For us to go from 9.5 to 10 on Denver, for example, now you&#8217;re telling me Denver has to win 11 &#8212; that&#8217;s a significant move,&#8221; he continued. &#8220;Usually we move it 10 cents on a limit bet. If we respect the player, maybe we move it a little more. Maybe not at all.&#8221;</p>
<p>MGM Mirage plans to release its win totals later this week, in time for the holiday weekend tourists.<br />
<strong><br />
</strong>Here&#8217;s the complete list of Cantor&#8217;s season win totals:</p>
<p><strong>Green Bay Packers</strong></p>
<p>Over 12 wins -125<br />
Under 12 wins -105<br />
<strong><br />
New England Patriots</strong></p>
<p>Over 12 wins -120<br />
Under 12 wins -110</p>
<p><strong>Houston Texans</strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins -140<br />
Under 10 wins +110</p>
<p><strong>Philadelphia Eagles </strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins -135<br />
Under 10 wins +105</p>
<p><strong>New Orleans Saints</strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins -125<br />
Under 10 wins -105</p>
<p><strong>Pittsburgh Steelers</strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins -125<br />
Under 10 wins -105</p>
<p><strong>Baltimore Ravens </strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins -110<br />
Under 10 wins -120<br />
<strong><br />
San Francisco 49ers</strong></p>
<p>Over 10 wins +105<br />
Under 10 wins -135</p>
<p><strong>Denver Broncos </strong></p>
<p>Over 9.5 wins -110<br />
Under 9.5 wins -120</p>
<p><strong>New York Giants (We have the Giants at 10 wins)</strong></p>
<p>Over 9.5 wins -110<br />
Under 9.5 wins -120</p>
<p><strong>Detroit Lions </strong></p>
<p>Over 9.5 wins +105<br />
Under 9.5 wins -135</p>
<p><strong>San Diego Chargers </strong></p>
<p>Over 9 wins -130<br />
Under 9 wins Even<br />
<strong><br />
Atlanta Falcons</strong></p>
<p>Over 9 wins +105<br />
Under 9 wins -135<br />
<strong><br />
Chicago Bears</strong></p>
<p>Over 8.5 wins -135<br />
Under 8.5 wins +105</p>
<p><strong>Dallas Cowboys</strong></p>
<p>Over 8.5 wins -125<br />
Under 8.5 wins -105<br />
<strong><br />
New York Jets</strong></p>
<p>Over 8.5 wins -115<br />
Under 8.5 wins -115<br />
<strong><br />
Kansas City Chiefs</strong></p>
<p>Over 8 wins -120<br />
Under 8 wins -110<br />
<strong><br />
Cincinnati Bengals</strong></p>
<p>Over 7.5 wins -130<br />
Under 7.5 wins Even</p>
<p><strong>Carolina Panthers</strong></p>
<p>Over 7.5 wins -115<br />
Under 7.5 wins -115<br />
<strong><br />
Miami Dolphins </strong></p>
<p>Over 7.5 wins -110<br />
Under 7.5 wins -120</p>
<p><strong>Tennessee Titans</strong></p>
<p>Over 7 wins -130<br />
Under 7 wins Even<strong></p>
<p>Buffalo Bills </strong></p>
<p>Over 7 wins -110<br />
Under 7 wins -120<br />
<strong><br />
Seattle Seahawks</strong></p>
<p>Over 7 wins -110<br />
Under 7 wins -120<br />
<strong><br />
Oakland Raiders</strong></p>
<p>Over 7 wins -110<br />
Under 7 wins -120<strong></p>
<p>Arizona Cardinals</strong></p>
<p>Over 7 wins -110<br />
Under 7 wins -120</p>
<p><strong>Washington Redskins </strong></p>
<p>Over 6.5 wins Even<br />
Under 6.5 wins -130</p>
<p><strong>St. Louis Rams </strong></p>
<p>Over 6 wins -110<br />
Under 6 wins -120<br />
<strong><br />
Tampa Bay Buccaneers</strong></p>
<p>Over 6 wins -110<br />
Under 6 wins -120<br />
<strong><br />
Minnesota Vikings</strong></p>
<p>Over 6 wins Even<br />
Under 6 wins -130<br />
<strong><br />
Cleveland Browns </strong></p>
<p>Over 5.5 wins Even<br />
Under 5.5 wins -130<br />
<strong><br />
Indianapolis Colts</strong></p>
<p>Over 5.5 wins +105<br />
Under 5.5 wins -135</p>
<p><strong>Jacksonville Jaguars</strong></p>
<p>Over 5.5 wins +105<br />
Under 5.5 wins -135<strong><br />
</strong></div>
<div></div>
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		<title>The New York Giants: A Good Bet This Year?</title>
		<link>http://gmenhq.com/2012/05/09/are-the-new-york-giants-a-good-bet-this-year/</link>
		<comments>http://gmenhq.com/2012/05/09/are-the-new-york-giants-a-good-bet-this-year/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2012 17:17:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe Tufaro</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Giants]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://gmenhq.com/?p=10680</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>According to Covers.com, the sportsbook at Cantor Gaming has set the betting lines for weeks 1-16 for all NFL match-ups. Yes, Already! Week 17 is not set because no one knows what will be up for grabs at that point of the season. The Giants are favored or pick &#8216;em in every home game except [...]</p><p><a href="http://gmenhq.com/2012/05/09/are-the-new-york-giants-a-good-bet-this-year/">The New York Giants: A Good Bet This Year?</a> - <a href="http://gmenhq.com">GMEN HQ</a> - <a href="http://gmenhq.com">GMEN HQ - A NY Giants Fan Site - News, Blogs, Opinion and more.</a></p>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to Covers.com, the sportsbook at Cantor Gaming has set the betting lines for weeks 1-16 for all <a title="NFL match-ups" href="http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?theArt=273744&amp;utm_source=dlvr.it&amp;utm_medium=twitter" target="_blank">NFL match-ups</a>. Yes, Already! Week 17 is not set because no one knows what will be up for grabs at that point of the season. The Giants are favored or pick &#8216;em in every home game except when facing the Packers in week 12 (Giants +3), and no more than a 4 point underdog on the road (Philly -4) in week 4. Assuming the home team usually starts out as a three point favorite, this is a pretty good indication that the Giants should have some success this year.  Of course, this is before any OTA&#8217;s, Mini Camps, Training Camp, Holdouts , and Injured Reserve assignments.</p>
<p>Which games would you bet on?</p>
<p>Here are the individual lines:</p>
<p>Giants -3 vs Cowboys</p>
<p>Giants -9 vs Tampa</p>
<p>Giants Pick &#8216;em vs Carolina  (Three days rest on the road)</p>
<p>Giants +4 vs. Philly</p>
<p>Giants -9.5 vs Cleveland</p>
<p>Giants +3 vs San Francisco</p>
<p>Giants -7 vs. Washington</p>
<p>Giants +2.5 vs Cowboys</p>
<p>Giants -3 vs Pittsburgh</p>
<p>Giants pick &#8216;em vs Cincy</p>
<p>Giants +3 vs Packers</p>
<p>Giants -2.5 vs Washington</p>
<p>Giants -2.5 vs. New Orleans</p>
<p>Giants +1.5 vs. Atlanta</p>
<p>Giants +3.5 vs Baltimore</p>
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