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Giants vs. Commanders Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 15 (New York’s Offense Poised to Explode)

By Iain MacMillan

Dec 4, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) passes the ball as Washington Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne (94) pressures during overtime at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 4, 2022; East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA; New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones (8) passes the ball as Washington Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne (94) pressures during overtime at MetLife Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports /
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The Giants take on the Washington Commanders for the second time in three weeks on the Week 15 edition of Sunday Night Football.

The previous meeting ended in a bizarre 20-20 tie, so there’s a lot on the line this time around. The winner of this matchup will have the inside track to the playoffs, while the loser could struggle to play in the postseason with both teams facing tough opponents in the final three weeks.

So, how do we approach this NFC East battle from a betting perspective?

Let’s dive into the latest odds.

Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, and Total

Giants vs. Commanders Betting Trends

  • Giants are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games
  • Giants are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games
  • Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last six games in Washington
  • Giants are 0-6-1 straight up in their last seven games against NFC East opponents
  • Washington is 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games
  • The UNDER is 8-3 in Washington’s last 11 games

Giants vs. Commanders Prediction and Pick

I was on the OVER 40.5 when these two teams met two weeks ago and it ended in a 20-20 tie. Being the vindictive person that I am, I’ll be back on the OVER for the rematch.

The two teams combined for 727 total yards of offense, which would normally lead to more than 40 points.

One of the areas that the Giants thrive in is red zone offense. They score a touchdown on 61.54% of their red zone trips, which is the ninth best rate in the NFL. Being able to score touchdowns instead of being held to field goals, is a quick way to hit an OVER in a game.

In the first meeting between these two teams, they went 3-for-14 and 4-for-13 in third down conversion rate, which kept points off the board. If the two offenses can convert just a few more third downs, there’s a chance the game could soar over the total.

In a pivotal divisional game, I’ll sit back and root for points.

You can track Iain’s bets on Betstamp here.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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