I was 9-5 last week and it was a strange week for sure. I’m 96-50 for the season. Let’s get right into our first five picks of the week.
Dolphins @ Bills I like the Dolphins. The Dolphins D is fourth best against the run (94 yards/game) and the Bills have the sixth best running game (143 yards/game). The Dolphins are giving up just 21 points/game to the Bills’ 32 points per game. Miami -6 turnovers and Buffalo is -10. Individually these stats don’t mean much but together I believe the add up to a win for Miami.
Cardinals @ Falcons Falcons will win. Atlanta is 8-1 overall and 4-0 at home. Cardinals are 4-5 overall and 1-3 on the road.
Browns @ Cowboys The Cowboys will win. Neither team is very exciting. Dallas has a better offense, a better defense, better special teams, and they are playing at home.
Packers @ Lions From what I can see the Packers lead the Lions in every statistic available. Packers will win and stay on track to make the playoffs.
Bengals @ Chiefs The Bengals will win. The Bengals are a very mediocre team but they show up ready to play every week. The Chiefs are 1-8 and 0-4 at home. Here is the biggest advantage for the Bengals: the Chiefs have -20 turnovers, worst in the league, and Cincinnati is -2 turnovers, NFC average league ranking.