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Expert Picks Week 11: Titans vs. Colts TNF

ESPN Expert Picks

 

 

Indianapolis -3 @ Tennessee — O/U 42

Both teams are coming off embarrassing defeats as substantial favorites: the Colts lost by 30 on their home field as a 7.5-point choice, and the Titans allowed the putrid Jags into the “oh so slippery” win column as an 11.5-point home favorite. It’s safe to assume both squads will take the field with an extreme sense of urgency on a short week. Tennessee sits two games behind Indy in the AFC South race.

The Colts need to find consistency with their rushing attack. Yes, they fell behind two scores in the blink of an eye last week, but ONE combined yard between Trent Richardson and Donald Brown is not going to cut it. Richardson has been running in quick sand all year long. While the Titans are an athletic defensive group, they’re also undersized and can be pushed back by a ground and pound style. Their secondary is excellent, and the Colts are short on imposing weapons on the outside to create windows for Andrew Luck.

Indianapolis has been opportunistic defensively, but they don’t hang their hat on any particular facet or make offenses one-dimensional. If the Titans display patience, they should be able to move the ball by milking Chris Johnson and utilizing the short passing game. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a capable backup (albeit mistake prone) and he’s quickly developed a strong rapport with wide receiver Kendall Wright. An explosive playmaker after the catch, Wright is always dangerous in the WR-screen game. The Colts could not handle Tavon Austin in space.

Prediction: 23-15 Tennessee 

 

Topics: Around The NFL, PICKS, Thursday Night Football

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  • Daniel Laxen

    All I have to do is to look at the QB position here. Luck is much better than Fitzpatrick and will lead the Colts to victory. The wake up call came last week for the Colts. They evidently had been reading press clippings going into the Ram game last Sunday? They are easily the best team in the South as of today and the titans just found a way to lose to the worst team in the NFL…On the other hand the Colts have beaten the best teams out there. It will be close, but the Colts win and cover and the score goers over…

    • Adam Ganeles

      Daniel — the Colts have no weapons. They were doing it with mirrors, and the mojo is clearly fading.

      • Daniel Laxen

        Well, having no weapons didn’t really matter, did it? That fading mojo somehow made a repeat performance last evening. Luck is clearly the best QB prospect I’ve EVER seen. Not a Colt fan either!…When he has 6-7 years under his belt the AFC and perhaps the NFL will be singing his song, instead of Peyton Manning’s…The level of his play is amazing considering he’s only a bit further than half way through his 2nd season…remarkable!…Any thoughts on the rest of the weekends slate? I like to use other’s as a sounding board.

  • Adam Ganeles

    ….and this game has gone full 180.

  • Daniel Laxen

    By the way. I played a tease. Teased the Titans to +9 and the o/u to 36…SCORE!

    • Adam Ganeles

      Good job, man! Titans were +2.5 for much of the day.. those who got +3 were both fortunate and unfortunate to be in that position. Got picks up on six other games –

      • Daniel Laxen

        Right on, commented already!…Play Seattle with comfort. If the Vikings should win, prepare for the Zombie Apocalypse…

        • Adam Ganeles

          Seattle was run over by Zac Stacy which was somewhat disconcerting. But unless AD rips off 200 on the ground, Minnesota has no shot.