Giants Regular Season Projections

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Accuscore.com has posted the Giants regular season projections for 2010, and according to the crunched numbers they will finish behind the Dallas Cowboys for 2nd place in the Beast.

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The Giants obviously were not as good as their 5-0 start indicated, but they probably were not as bad as their 3-8 finish indicated. AccuScore’s pre-draft forecast has the Giants winning over 50% of their games but a key will be Brandon Jacobs bouncing back from a poor season. The concern obviously is that bruising RBs do not often get healthier and better after 5 or 6 years. South Florida had a talented defense but did not dominate the Big East. If Jason Pierre-Paul could not help South Florida dominate the Big East, it would be safe to assume that he would not have had much of an impact in a top-tier conference like the SEC. He may be a physical freak and physical freaks can get 10+ sacks, but there is no proof that his 10+ sacks will help the Giants become a Top 5 defense again. Julius Peppers averaged double digit sacks and the Panthers have been a below average defense most years he ‘starred’ in Carolina. The best way for the Giants to improve was to rejuvenate their offensive line and re-establish their dominant running game. We feel a second round pick like Toby Gerhart would have had a bigger first year impact than the Giants first 2 picks will make. That said, the Giants did improve after the draft with a +5.8 percent increase in winning the NFC East.

OFF-SEASON CHANGES RECORD WIN DIV PLAYOFF
Before Draft 8.4 – 7.6 21.60% 34.70%
Pre-Camp Forecast 8.6 – 7.4 27.40% 45.10%
Draft / FA / Trade Impact +0.2 Wins 5.80% 10.40%
NFC EAST Record Win Div Playoff
DALLAS COWBOYS 9.7 – 6.3 53.67% 68.21%
NEW YORK GIANTS 8.6 – 7.4 27.35% 45.10%
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES 7.4 – 8.6 12.02% 22.58%
WASHINGTON REDSKINS 6.8 – 9.2 6.96% 14.84%

KEY PLAYERS: These are the leading projected leaders. Visit AccuScore.com for fantasy projections for all players, all stats, all weeks

OFFENSE

  • Eli Manning: 319-518, 61.6%, 3942 Yards, 26 Pass TD, 13 Int
  • Jim Sorgi: 7-11, 64.5%, 80 Yards, 0 Pass TD, 0 Int
  • Ahmad Bradshaw: 205 Rush, 905 Yards, 4.41 ypc, 7 Rush TD
  • Brandon Jacobs: 219 Rush, 872 Yards, 3.99 ypc, 6 Rush TD
  • Steve Smith (NYG): 90 rec, 971 Yards, 10.8 ypr, 4 Rec TD
  • Hakeem Nicks: 59 rec, 966 Yards, 16.4 ypr, 7 Rec TD
  • Mario Manningham: 55 rec, 817 Yards, 14.7 ypr, 4 Rec TD

DEFENSE

  • Justin Tuck: 46 Solo Tackles, 8 Sacks, 0.2 Int
  • Michael Boley: 76 Solo Tackles, 2.5 Sacks, 0.5 Int
  • Mathias Kiwanuka: 39 Solo Tackles, 4.8 Sacks, 0 Int

KICKING

  • Lawrence Tynes: 29 FGM, 4 FG Miss 88%, 45 XP

Turn the page for my thoughts on the matter.

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