ESPN NFL Picks with Jeff Ellis: Week 4

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Sep 15, 2013; Seattle, WA, USA; Seattle Seahawks defensive end Cliff Avril (56) forces a fumble by San Francisco 49ers quarterback Colin Kaepernick (7) during the second quarter at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Seattle @ Houston
Statistically, these teams match-up very well. Both teams have two weaknesses. Seattle struggles on the road and their starting center Max Unger is out. Unger is replaced by Lemuel Jeanpierre, a four-year veteran out of South Carolina. Houston’s top receiver Andre Johnson is returning from a lower leg injury and says he’s at “about 80 percent right now.” Houston’s other weakness, and the one that will make the difference today, is their turnovers. They are -3 turnovers and Seattle is +6 turnover. Seattle wins on turnovers.