NFL Expert Picks Week 11: Sunday Afternoon

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Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Cincinnati -5.5 vs. Cleveland — O/U 42.5

Andy Dalton has been truly abysmal, but I suppose he’s due for some big plays — thrown to his own receivers. Fantastic corner Joe Haden will be matched up one on one with A.J. Green, which means an advantage on the other side of the formation with Marvin Jones. Rookie RB Gio Bernard could make an aggressive, over-pursuing Browns defense pay with his freakish cut back style. Cleveland has no NFL talent in their own running back stable, and Jason Campbell won’t be able to win this with his arm. If Dalton doesn’t hand the Browns free points on a silver platter (a big if), Cincinnati gets the season split at Paul Brown.

Prediction: 27-14 Cincinnati