Giants vs. Vikings prediction and odds for NFL Wild Card round (New York is live underdog)
By Josh Yourish
We just saw this game back in Week 16. The Minnesota Vikings took a 27-24 win at home over the New York Giants, so Vegas has set the line right there. Minnesota is a three point favorite in the Wild Card round after going 13-4 with a -3 point differential.
The New York Giants surprisingly fought their way to the playoffs with a first-year head coach and also did it with a negative point differential. Brian Daboll has done an incredible job with the Giants and he can cap off his first season with a playoff upset in Minnesota.
The NFC is wide open, maybe one of these teams can sneak into the Super Bowl, but first they have to survive Super Wild Card Weekend. Will Kirk Cousins get his second playoff win as a Viking, or will he disappoint on the big stage… again? Let’s get into the odds.
Giants vs. Vikings Odds, Spread and Total
Minnesota and New York Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 7-9-1 ATS
- New York is 13-4 ATS
- The Over is 11-6 in Minnesota’s games
- New York is 4-0 ATS in last four
- The Over is 6-1 in Minnesota’s last seven games overall
Giants vs. Vikings Prediction and Pick
I’ve faded the Vikings all year, I’ve called them frauds and I stand by every word. This team has been incredibly lucky to get to 13-4. 11 of their wins are by one score, that is unheard of and the exact type of team you want to fade come the postseason and even next year the under on their season total will be a smart play.
The main issue with this team is not their own quarterback, not anymore. He’s not Joe Montana, but he’s beyond serviceable and I believe he’s capable of winning in the postseason. The issue is that they make every opposing QB look like Montana.
It’s between them and Tennessee for the worst secondary in the NFL, and the Vikings are by far the worst unit to make it to the postseason. They allow 265.5 passing yards per game, 7.3 yards per attempt, and they even made Nathan Peterman look decent in Week 18. The Bears actually had to pull Peterman for Tim Boyle because they needed to complete the tank for the No. 1 pick.
New York has issues stopping the run, but Kevin O’Connell would rather throw the ball, and the run defense is improving. For the season, they’re allowing 5.2 yards per carry and 144.2 yards per game, but in their last three they’re only giving up 115.3 which is top half of the league for that stretch. Minnesota will also be without Garrett Bradbury, their center, so their run game won’t be as effective.
Daniel Jones has been very good this year, he’s a different guy with Brian Daboll, and he looked awesome against Minnesota three weeks ago. In that game, Minnesota won, but New York gained nearly 100 more yards. It’s time for Minnesota’s shamrock and horseshoe powered season to come to an end.
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change