Giants being utterly disrespected in Super Bowl odds
The Giants are onto the Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs after an impressive 31-24 upset win against the Vikings. Though it does appear one place isn’t impressed with the G-Men: Vegas.
Despite advancing to the second round of the playoffs, the Giants still have the second-worst odds to win the Super Bowl (+2500), ahead of only the Jaguars (+3000) and behind both the Bucs (+2400) and Cowboys (+1400), teams that still have to play their Wild Card game against each other.
Well, where Vegas sees a long shot, I see an opportunity. Now is the time to bet on the Giants to win the Super Bowl because their odds will only go down from here.
The Giants face the Eagles this weekend as +7-point underdogs. That’s a wide line considering the Giants, with most of their starters resting, played the Eagles tight in a 22-16 loss just three weeks ago. But either way, if you’re betting the Giants’ moneyline against the Eagles you might as well bet their odds to win the Super Bowl too.
If the Giants upset the top-seeded Eagles, their odds to win the Super Bowl will shrink from +2500 to something in the +1000 range depending on who they play in the NFC Championship. Either way, the Giants will be underdogs for the rest of the playoffs, but the Super Bowl payout difference is considerable week to week.
For context, a $20 bet at +2500 would win $500 while a $20 bet at +1000 odds would win $200.
While the Giants are rightfully behind the Eagles and 49ers (+450) in Super Bowl odds, I don’t see why they should be behind Dallas and Tampa Bay. Beyond the fact that one won’t be through to the next round, the former played its worst game of the season in Week 18 and the latter (outside of having Tom Brady) has looked terrible all season. Plus, they have to travel all the way to Cali for their next game vs San Francisco whereas the Giants head 100-plus miles south to Philly.
The Chiefs (+300) are the favorites to win the Super Bowl ahead of the Bills (+360). If the Giants somehow won the NFC, getting through the AFC winner would be no small task either. But the Giants have won two Super Bowls from the six-seed in my lifetime and I’m not missing the chance to cash in on No. 3.
Who’s coming with me?