Giants vs. Eagles prediction and odds for NFL divisional round (Don’t sleep on Giants)

New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports
New York Giants quarterback Daniel Jones. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports /

Brian Daboll and the New York Giants pulled off an impressive upset win on Wild Card Weekend against the Minnesota Vikings, and now they’re playing with house money against the No. 1 seed Philadelphia Eagles in the divisional round.

Daniel Jones had a historic postseason debut for the Giants, and Saquon Barkley ran all over Minnesota in the team’s upset win.

The Eagles pose a much different challenge, but Philly can’t take this game for granted. Jalen Hurts’ shoulder injury certainly puts into question the team’s ceiling in the playoffs, and New York already has two looks at this Eagles team this season.

Daboll and company have exceeded expectations in every way, but oddsmakers are pretty confident Philly is going to win this game, starting the Eagles as 7.5-point favorites.

How should bettors attack this matchup?

Here are the latest odds and my favorite bet for this game:

Giants vs. Eagles odds, spread and total

Giants vs. Eagles betting trends

  • The Giants are 14-4 against the spread this season, the best record in the NFL.
  • The Eagles are 8-9 against the spread this season.
  • The Giants covered the spread in one of their two games against the Eagles in 2022.
  • The OVER is 1-1 in Eagles-Giants games this season.
  • The Giants are 7-1 ATS as road underdogs this season.

Giants vs. Eagles prediction and pick

Yes, there is the argument the Giants have some poor underlying numbers (21st in DVOA) and should struggle to keep up with Philly.

At least that’s what the odds are telling us.

But, do we really have this much confidence in the Eagles with Jalen Hurts nursing a shoulder injury? I mean, the Giants kept the Week 18 matchup between these teams to a six point game despite playing most of their backups.

New York’s offense was humming against an overrated Minnesota team, and I think there is a path to success against the Eagles. Philly allows 4.6 yards per carry this season, the ninth-most in the NFL, and the Giants rode Jones and Barkley on the ground all night on Wild Card Weekend.

It’s key that we can get the Giants through the key number of seven, and I think they’ll be able to cover the spread in this game. New York has been elite against the spread, especially as a road underdog (7-1 ATS) this season.

It’s really hard to beat the same team three times in a season, so even if the Eagles do, I think the Giants are able to hang around with their divisional foe.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.