Giants Over/Under: Predicting 2016 Stats
Odell Beckham: 100 receptions in 2016
What will Odell Beckham, Jr. do for an encore? He caught 187 passes for 2,755 yards and 25 touchdowns in his first two seasons. If history is any indication, he will only get better.
Third-year receivers have, historically, taken their game to the next level. In Jerry Rice’s third year, he caught 22 TDs. Randy Moss caught 15 TDs and had 1,437 receiving yards. It’s scary to think what that next level might be for OBJ.
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Beckham was targeted an average of 146 times in his first two seasons, and that was without a true threat opposite him. According to TeamRankings.com, he was targeted 10.5 times per game last season, making him the sixth-most targeted receiver in the league. Assuming he plays all 16 games at the same rate, Beckham would be targeted 168 times in 2016. His 64% catch rate would equal about 108 receptions.
One school of thought says Shepard and Cruz will eat into OBJ’s targets. Conversely, with the duo putting pressure on a defense, it should open up more throwing lanes. Not only will defenses have to stay honest underneath, but they must also respect Shepard’s speed on the outside. Beckham should see even more opportunities this season.